Drafted Again You Are What You Is
No affair how "good" or "bad" a player is, information technology'south hard to go fantasy baseball drafters to all concord on where they should be drafted (that's why we have rankings and ADP, afterward all).
Already this draft flavor, I'm seeing players get scooped up at typhoon points that have me maxim, "Well why would you do that?" This list will shed lite on some of those players.
We've already discussed the safe players. Nosotros've discussed underrated options, too. Now, hither are my top picks for the virtually overrated players in drafts, with one pick for each of the first 10 rounds based on Yahoo ADP.
Round 1: Ronald Acuña Jr., OF, Atlanta Braves
Before you summon the hounds, please don't misunderstand me; this choice has aught to do with Acuña'southward talent or production and everything to practice with his return from that horrible ACL injury.
A fully good for you Acuña would be a surefire summit 3-5 draft pick, merely we're already hearing that Atlanta is expecting his debut to come some time in early May. And it's not like he's just going to jump dorsum into the field for a full workload. There volition be some expected growing pains here, and due to him coming back from a knee joint injury, I highly doubt he's going to start stealing bases in bunches again; chances are, Braves brass won't want him too, either. He'southward not a first-round option for me.
Round 2: Luis Robert, OF, Chicago White Sox
This is just one round too early on for me. I have no doubt Robert will be one of the stars of the league in no time. Simply permit him play a full season before I take to spend a second-round option in order to draft him. This ADP insinuates Robert's ceiling is a sure thing; nil is a sure affair in fantasy baseball.
Round three: Shane Bieber, SP, Cleveland Guardians
This is the hardest circular to notice an overrated pick for, because it seems like everyone who is being selected in this spot belongs in this spot.
So, I'll get with the player who has a flake more than question marks surrounding him than I would like. Bieber went from a bad rookie year to a good sophomore twelvemonth to a Cy Young winner in the shortened 2022 season, notwithstanding suffered expected regression final season. And then, who'due south the existent Bieber? He's still simply 26 — there's room to abound, or fall.
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To make matters worse, Bieber is currently making his way back from the shoulder injury that ruined his 2021. There'south enough doubt to make me decline Bieber's services this early on in a fantasy draft.
Circular iv: Wander Franco, 3B/SS, Tampa Bay Rays
We've been waiting for uber-phenom Wander Franco to make his mark on the game, merely, very much like the same Robert, this is as well early on to typhoon someone who hasn't played a full flavor. And who knows if the Rays will give him a full season's worth of work anyway?
Furthermore, Franco's value lies in his uncanny ability to hit and not strike out, merely will that result in hit for serious ability? Project systems seem to recollect so, but I'd prefer to encounter it happen first earlier I draft waiting for information technology.
Round 5: Robbie Ray, SP, Seattle Mariners
Calling the reigning AL Cy Young winner an overrated typhoon pick in the 5th round doesn't sound right coming off my fingertips, but here we are. I do think this ADP bakes in regression on his epic 2022 flavour — I merely don't think it bakes in enough regression.
I will likely be fading Ray in my drafts this flavor. 2022 seemed like the perfect tempest for Ray; playing on a pinnacle squad with a top pitching-coaching staff alongside him. Now, he'll be on a weaker team in a new division, so what'south to say his history of walks and ugly control issues won't resurface? What'due south to say 2022 wasn't just an outlier? (He's allowed four runs in 8.1 innings pitched this Leap, for what it's worth.)
I don't blame anyone for taking a draft discount on a reigning Cy Young winner. I only know it won't be me.
Round 6: Corey Seager, SS, Texas Rangers
Seager has the pedigree and the talent, but he's not exactly someone I'm looking to draft in the mid-rounds. He hasn't played a full flavor since 2016. He'due south never striking over 26 home runs. He doesn't run and he's never had more 90 RBIs. He'south conspicuously a huge batting average asset, simply I'one thousand all the same looking for multi-category contributors at this point of drafts. Seager will besides exist on a much weaker Rangers team in comparison to those Dodger lineups he's enjoyed. Count me out at this ADP.
Round 7: Aroldis Chapman, RP, New York Yankees
This is nearly the fourth dimension I'm ordinarily looking to draft my closers, so I'm not as well confronting Chapman'due south ADP considering he'southward the ninth-inning guy on a winning team (at to the lowest degree, a team projected to win more than they lose). What I am against, however, is that it seems we're seeing him lose more than games due to injury along with spurts of odd control issues where he's giving upwardly free passes and homers in bunches.
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Considering the Yankees sport a strong bullpen with other relievers capable of shutting the ninth down, I'd pass on Chapman here and look elsewhere for saves. Or, I'd expect for some other multi-category hitter in this circular.
Round 8: Frankie Montas, SP, Oakland A's
I am fading nigh, if not all of Oakland's starting pitchers subsequently the squad's offensive fire sale this offseason. There just isn't much in the way of win potential here, and it's not like any member of their projected rotation screams, "Ace."
Montas has absolutely been tied to trade rumors, but for now, he and his Athletic compatriots are total fades for me.
Circular 9: Jack Flaherty, SP, St. Louis Cardinals
Total disclosure: I'm a big Jack Flaherty fan, but I am terrified of him this season due to the ailments he'southward currently dealing with. There are a lot of medical terms being thrown around when discussing him, shoulder and oblique stuff that makes me shudder. Suffice it to say, I volition be avoiding him at this ADP, and probably any ADP. It'south a good draft discount for a potential ace, but information technology could also be a flavour-long nightmare in disguise.
Round x: Blake Snell, SP, San Diego Padres
If you lot know what happened to Blake Snell, please tell me, because I sure don't.
The former Cy Young Winner has at present delivered three directly subpar seasons which include iii directly years of ugly WHIP totals and less than 130 innings pitched. Certain, he tin can still make bats miss, but at what price? His xERA of 2022 was an unseemly 4.89. I'm out on Snell.
More draft prep from Yahoo Fantasy
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Source: https://sports.yahoo.com/fantasy-baseball-the-most-overrated-draft-picks-you-can-make-in-rounds-1-10-161722739.html
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